Who Leads in the 36th? Which Poll Do You Trust?

One poll shows a slim Ruiz lead for first time in campaign, other poll shows Congresswoman Bono Mack with double digit lead.

A new poll shows voters in the 36th Congressional District giving an edge to challenger Dr. Raul Ruiz (D-Coachella) over incumbent Congresswoman Mary Bono Mack (R-Palm Springs). The figures were released today by the Ruiz campaign.

The poll by Lake Research Partners, shows Ruiz with a three point lead, 46% to 43%, and his first lead in the campaign.  The poll has a 4.9% margin of error.

Lake Research Partners has done polling for a number of Democrats previously.

The poll of 406 likely voters in California's 36th Congressional District was conducted by telephone, in English and Spanish, from October 2 - 4, 2012.

This poll was conducted prior to a televised debate between the two on October 12.

"This shows that all of the momentum is on Dr. Ruiz' side, and that his message of protecting Medicare for the over 140,000 seniors in the district and creating jobs right here in the Coachella Valley is really resonating with voters," said Patrick Boland, spokesman for Dr. Ruiz.

Congresswoman Mary Bono Mack's campaign says the truth is quite different.

According to a statement released to Palm Desert Patch, a poll last week by Arthur Finkelstein and Associates shows voters support Bono Mack by a 54.7 percent to 38 percent margin.   

The Finkelstein poll was of 300 likely voters and has a margin of error of 5.6%.

“Our polling has consistently shown Congresswoman Bono Mack with a strong lead despite the unrelenting attacks of Nancy Pelosi’s allies and liberal groups,” said Marc Troast, political director for the Bono Mack campaign. “Voters in the 36th District know that Congresswoman Bono Mack has a record of service and leadership and support her by a wide margin.”

The numbers in the current poll are consistent with polling throughout the campaign, Troast said. They are in stark contrast to curious figures released by the Ruiz campaign, he said.

Troast noted that in May, Lake Research showed a dead heat in the campaign to recall Wisconsin governor Scott Walker. In the election a week later, Walker trounced the recall effort by a 10 percent margin.

Independent October 16, 2012 at 02:11 AM
I am an independent who has voted for both Democratic and Republican candidates all my life. I had the opportunity to watch the debate the other night and was in utter shock to see the projection of a mean-spirited, angry and out of touch Congresswoman. This election is a no brainer for me. The choice between the son of migrant farm workers who realized the American dream and returned to his homeland as promised or a mean spirited woman who is so out of touch with her constituents that she did not realize that a business she promoted had moved out of town, is quite simple. The people of the Coachella Valley will speak loudly and clearly next month!
Mariana Zuelsdorf October 16, 2012 at 08:52 AM
Neither. They are both awful. May I please have a third candidate? Bono Mack didn't insult the Native Americans, but she sure made a first class fool of herself.
Laurie October 16, 2012 at 10:21 AM
That headline!! It's 'Whose'...not 'who's' (which means 'who is') Sheesh! Get some proof readers!
Robert Dennis Enriquez October 16, 2012 at 02:02 PM
Considering these polls were taken prior to the debate have me believing that Dr. Raul Ruiz is further ahead than reported. Mary Bono Mack’s insulting attacks on the Dr. were appalling . Our community has suffered enough through the last few years with many losing homes, jobs and hope. Dr. Ruiz, a Harvard graduate did not have to return to our community. His education and skills would allow him to practice anywhere in the world and get paid fortunes. It was his choice to return home and serve the community he grew up in and loves. Just as, it was Mary Bono Mack’s choice to abandon her district to live and support her new husband in Florida.
Robert Dennis Enriquez October 16, 2012 at 02:11 PM
I am happy to read that you too caught the debate and heard Mary Bono Mack proudly proclaim her involvement in bringing a business to our community that is not here.She has lost touch with our district and cannot phone in her involvement from Florida.
EricAppleworthy October 16, 2012 at 02:21 PM
Dr. Ruiz is an American success story. And Bono Mack is just another Republican working for the 1%.
Roland Alden October 16, 2012 at 02:42 PM
The fallout from the debate has been enormous in favor of Dr. Ruiz. Any poll taken prior to it has been rendered meaningless.
Paul Crippan October 16, 2012 at 03:10 PM
I watched the debate and was appalled that the first thing out of Mary Bono Mack was to slander Raul Ruiz. She is so out of touch and is desperate. When you have nothing to offer then you go on the offense and attack..that is what she did and it was very unprofessional and demeaning. She should not represent us in Congress or anywhere...Did anyone see who she walked off the stage and did not even thank the moderators...she could not wait to get out of there..wonder why???
Dunesboy October 16, 2012 at 04:14 PM
I have to wonder, is Nancy Pelosi and Sean Penn running for COngress or is it Ruiz ? We hear nothing form Mack's side other than Pelosi is trying to take over the district. One can say the same about the Koch Brothers and Grover Norquist wo support Mack ! She tries to portray Ruiz as unAmerican, yet what is more American than growing up poor, going to school to become a doctor and then returning to the community that one grew up in ? Ruiz was honored by the Ranch Mirage Chamber of COmmerce...she calling them unAmerican as well ? One can understand why Mack would not want discuss her support of Paul Ryan's Medicare plans which the Kaiser FOundation yesterday said would increase senior's premiums by $100 to $200/month. Of course she does not wnat to highlight her support of the Ryan GOP budget which among other things would remove the home mortgage interest deduction and credit for state taxes paid. I n political circles they keep referring to her as "moderate"...sorry there is nothing moderate about MAck. SHe has fallen for the Tea Party hook, line, and sinker.
MARLENE LEVINE October 16, 2012 at 04:36 PM
Anyone watching the debate with an OPEN mind saw a bright, young man who lives in and is willing to work for his community and a frightened, angry older woman longing to return to Florida where she now lives with her husband who is losing his bid for Senator.
Ricardo October 16, 2012 at 05:18 PM
Good to see that so many voters are getting informed. Time for new blood in congress and know that they still live here and are in touch with the community.
Reginia Sam October 16, 2012 at 05:34 PM
We just moved here in January and I don't know about either one of them. I saw the debates and all I saw was two people attacking each other, and neither one of them said what they would do to help the people. So I still don't know who is better.
Dennis Anthony October 16, 2012 at 05:56 PM
I was embarrased for Mary in the debate. I had no idea she was such an angry, hostile person. I was shocked to hear her try to explain how demonstrating for the American Indian is anti-American. This is the first time I have actually "seen" her other than a campaign ad. I have tried to find a town hall meeting to meet her, but it appears she only meets with people in groups as invitation only. Her actions have certainly pushed me into the Dr. Ruiz camp.
Ellen Carr October 16, 2012 at 07:52 PM
Bono-Mack, go back to Florida where you live!!!! You're time is over. Let "new blood" course through our District's veins. We need a transfusion...NOW!!!
Floyd Rhoades October 17, 2012 at 08:11 AM
There's an old adage, "Don't tell me what you are going to do, show me what you have done." i am sure that Dr. Ruiz is a find ER physician, but he has no clue about the political world except for the myopic and distorted brainwashed perspective he has received inthe past few monthsof this campaign from his Democratic handlers. His debate presentation was nothing more than redundant strung- together campaign slogans that most of the time made no sense in the context of the discussion. He should follow Obama's lead and get a teleprompter. Then he could just read what they write fo rhim without stumbling and fumbling. Mary Bono Mack lives, breaths and works the issues facing our Valley. She knows our issues and has the political clout in D. C. to deal with them for the benefit of her constituents. Dr. Ruiz is a Polosi puppet. Mary is a powerful, thoughtful, dedicated and effective representative of the Coachella Valley. We need her leadership in Washington as she works relentlessly to represent us well. Her's is not an "aw-shucks" i'm just a local boy made good persona. She is the only choice that will ensure effective representation of the Coachella Valley.
Nancy Gall October 17, 2012 at 01:01 PM
Mary does not know our issues. She is a puppet of the rightwing Republicans like Bainer who's coming to the Pass to cry for us for a price, of course. Lynn Bogh Baldi tried to sell us tickets at last night's city council meeting. Mary doesn't know our needs. Our seniors need social security and Medicare, which she wants to cut. Our women need equal pay for equal work and protection from physical abuse, both of these she voted against. Our kids need college educations and the Pelll Grants and affordable federal loans that make that possible. Mary Bono is not the Pass' cup of tea. I voted for the bright young doctor who feels,not cries, for his people.
Floyd Rhoades October 17, 2012 at 03:48 PM
Nancy, your comments are absurd. Mary does know the issues. She is trying to work to preserve Medicare, not cut it. Obamacare is the biggest risk there is to Medicare. Social Security is preservable with some bi-partisan compromise. Women's rights need legislation that is not laden with other clutter that taints the well of the bills being introduced. Our kids need JOBS and the appropriate education to prepare them for the careers that will generate those jobs now and in the future. There are plenty of jobs that remain open because potential employees are not properly trained for the position. Vocational and trade schools should be strongly promoted. I dont even understand your last line about the "Pass cup of tea" or the absurd contention that the good doctor "feels, not cries, for his people." Mary is the adult in this race.
Ellen Carr October 17, 2012 at 05:06 PM
Bono-Mack your tired old blood isn't needed in our district. Do yourself a favor and go back to Florida. Maybe they'll want you to "misrepresent" them! The Pass deserves a representative who will really represent us...THE PEOPLE! Dr. Ruiz has my VOTE!!!!
Reginia Sam October 17, 2012 at 05:24 PM
Like I said neither one said of them said anything about how they'll help people just slandering back and forth. Just because Ruiz is younger doesn't hell be any good either. Like one reviewer said can we have a third?
Reginia Sam October 17, 2012 at 05:25 PM
Doesn't mean he'll be any good I meant.
Kimball Bergeron October 19, 2012 at 05:59 AM
And where's Bono-Mack today, well not in the district she's susposed to represent. Oh where oh can Mary be??? Oh silly me she's in Florida, of course!!! 19 days and counting. Raul Ruiz you have this households votes! Thank you in advance for caring. Gods speed::::
Karla Payne October 22, 2012 at 02:18 PM
I agree!
Darlene Nolan October 29, 2012 at 07:42 PM
Thank God Congresswoman Bono Mac is ahead and will win re-election. To many people want government handouts and just do not understand how this leads to giving up our freedoms. So sad.
Reginia Sam October 29, 2012 at 08:00 PM
Exactly Darlene and the hard workers have to pay for it.
Brianna Rank November 06, 2012 at 03:54 PM
Mack is Bachmann is Palin. All clueless Republican Tea Partiers who trade in femininity for vote grabbing from scared seniors who frankly, might as well be illiterate for all the garbage they believe from Rove's junk mail.
Susan Bambusch November 06, 2012 at 06:26 PM
Brianna... Touchee' couldn't have said it better !


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